|
Foreword |
6 |
|
|
Preface |
8 |
|
|
Contents |
10 |
|
|
Introduction: The Future Is Now |
13 |
|
|
1.1 The Future of Arid Lands |
13 |
|
|
1.2 The Future of Arid Lands – Revisited |
16 |
|
|
1.2.1 Scope |
17 |
|
|
1.2.2 Audience |
17 |
|
|
1.2.3 Objective |
17 |
|
|
Contexts |
19 |
|
|
2.1 The Situation in the 1950s |
19 |
|
|
2.1.1 Ambience: The Post- World War II Years |
19 |
|
|
2.1.2 Science: Belief in Technology |
22 |
|
|
2.1.3 Policy: Focus on Growth |
25 |
|
|
2.2 The Situation Today |
26 |
|
|
2.2.1 Ambience: Towards a Globalized World |
26 |
|
|
2.2.2 Science: Complexity and Uncertainty |
29 |
|
|
2.2.3 Policy: Focus on Sustainability |
30 |
|
|
The Search for Water |
34 |
|
|
3.1 The Situation in the 1950s |
34 |
|
|
3.1.1 Surface Water Development |
35 |
|
|
3.1.2 Groundwater Development |
37 |
|
|
3.1.3 Water Harvesting |
38 |
|
|
3.1.4 Desalination |
39 |
|
|
3.1.5 Water Reuse |
40 |
|
|
3.1.6 Water-Use Efficiency |
40 |
|
|
3.2 The Situation Today |
41 |
|
|
3.2.1 Surface Water Development |
43 |
|
|
3.2.2 Groundwater |
45 |
|
|
3.2.3 Water Harvesting |
46 |
|
|
3.2.4 Desalination |
47 |
|
|
3.2.5 Wastewater |
48 |
|
|
3.2.6 Stormwater |
50 |
|
|
3.2.7 Conservation |
50 |
|
|
3.2.8 Integrated Water Resource Management |
50 |
|
|
Weather Modification: More Than Bargained For? |
57 |
|
|
4.1 The Situation in the 1950s |
57 |
|
|
4.1.1 Understanding Climate Variability |
58 |
|
|
4.1.2 Weather Modification: Making It Rain |
59 |
|
|
4.2 The Situation Today |
61 |
|
|
4.2.1 Advances in Understanding Climate Variability |
62 |
|
|
4.2.2 Revisiting Weather Modification |
66 |
|
|
4.2.3 Global Climate Change and Drylands |
68 |
|
|
Plant and Animal Alternatives |
75 |
|
|
5.1 The Situation in the 1950s |
75 |
|
|
5.1.1 Exploiting What Is There |
76 |
|
|
5.1.2 Developing New Crops from Dryland Plants |
77 |
|
|
5.1.3 Importing New Resources from Other Drylands |
79 |
|
|
5.1.4 Improving Crops for Dryland Environments |
81 |
|
|
5.2 The Situation Today |
83 |
|
|
5.2.1 Exploiting What Is There |
84 |
|
|
5.2.2 Developing New Crops from Dryland Plants |
84 |
|
|
5.2.3 Importing New Resources from Other Drylands |
86 |
|
|
5.2.4 Improving Crops for Dryland Environments |
89 |
|
|
5.2.5 Livestock |
90 |
|
|
5.2.6 Changes in the Scope of Research |
92 |
|
|
Ecosystems |
94 |
|
|
6.1 The Situation in the 1950s |
94 |
|
|
6.1.1 Ecological Balance as Guiding Principle |
95 |
|
|
6.1.2 Systems Thinking in its Infancy |
98 |
|
|
6.2 The Situation Today |
99 |
|
|
6.2.1 “New Ecology” and the Nonequilibrium Paradigm |
100 |
|
|
6.2.2 Complex Systems Science |
105 |
|
|
6.2.3 Panarchy |
111 |
|
|
Land Use and Management |
115 |
|
|
7.1 The Situation in the 1950s |
115 |
|
|
7.1.1 Drylands As A Source of Food: The Malthusian Argument |
116 |
|
|
7.1.2 Concerns about “Overuse” |
119 |
|
|
7.2 The Situation Today |
120 |
|
|
7.2.1 Multiple Land Use Alternatives |
121 |
|
|
7.2.2 Systems Approaches in Land Management |
131 |
|
|
7.2.3 Dryland Management in The Context of Global Debates |
134 |
|
|
Policy In and For Drylands |
141 |
|
|
8.1 The Situation in The 1950s |
141 |
|
|
8.1.1 Development Through “Modernization” |
142 |
|
|
8.1.2 National Governments as Key Political Actors |
143 |
|
|
8.1.3 Global Institutions in Their Beginning |
143 |
|
|
8.2 The Situation Today |
144 |
|
|
8.2.1 New Views on Development |
146 |
|
|
8.2.2 Global Environmental Governance |
147 |
|
|
8.2.3 Intersectoral and Interinstitutional Coordination and Cooperation |
150 |
|
|
8.2.4 Civil Society, Participation and Empowerment |
152 |
|
|
8.2.5 The Evolution of The Dialogue Between Science and Policy |
153 |
|
|
The Future of Arid Lands – Revisited |
160 |
|
|
9.1 What We Have Learned |
160 |
|
|
9.2 Where We May Be Going |
165 |
|
|
References |
169 |
|
|
Appendix 1 |
193 |
|
|
Table of Contents Reproduced from The Future of Arid Lands ( 1956) |
193 |
|
|
Appendix 2 |
196 |
|
|
Brief Biographies of Authors Cited from The Future of Arid Lands |
196 |
|
|
Color Plates |
205 |
|